Alvin Murphy (Washington University in St. Louis)[Major Choice]

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• workingpaper ?[PDF]? Modified: September 7, 2011
• ... Giacomini and White (2006) obtain a null asymptotic distribution that is standard
  normal, under asymptotics that treat R as fixed and P as large ...
• http://www.clevelandfed.org/research/workpaper/2011/wp1121.pdf

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• workingpaper ?[PDF]? Modified: September 7, 2011
• ... forecasts from nested models, a null of equal mean square error (MSE)
  can be rejected even though, in the finite sample at ...
• http://www.clevelandfed.org/research/workpaper/2011/wp1120.pdf

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• Non-Nested Specification Tests and the Intermediate Target ... ?[PDF]? Modified: August 28, 2006
• ... combination of the null and the alternative hypotheses. Of the monetary ... The
  non-nested procedure requires a convex linear combination of the null ...
• http://www.clevelandfed.org/research/workpaper/1983/wp8301.pdf

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• Some Monte Carl0 Results On Nonparametric Changepoint ... ?[PDF]? Modified: September 28, 2005
• ... the null hypothesis of no change. Such methods also offer some protection
  against ... as a rank test statistic to test the null hypothesis of no change. ...
• http://www.clevelandfed.org/research/workpaper/1995/wp9517.pdf

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• The Sources and Nature of Long-Term Memory in Aggregate ... ?[PDF]? Modified: June 27, 2006
• ... To interpret these results, we perform several Monte Carlo experiments under
  two null and two alterna- tive hypotheses and report these results. ...
• http://www.clevelandfed.org/research/review/2001/nature.pdf

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• The Forecasting Performance of German Stock Option ... ?[PDF]? Modified: November 26, 2003
• ... variable. Under the null, a sequence of correct ... yields the proportion of zh,t's
  that is less than y. Graphically, the null hypothesis corresponds ...
• http://www.clevelandfed.org/research/workpaper/2003/wp03-12.pdf

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• Financial Efficiency and Aggregate Fluctuations: An ... ?[PDF]? Modified: September 23, 2005
• ... The test is a t-test or "normalized bias" test for p = 1 . Under the null hypothesis
  that p = 1, the test statistic has a nonstandard distribution and ...
• http://www.clevelandfed.org/research/review/1991/91-q4-haubrich.pdf

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• The Sources And Nature Of Long-Term Memory In The ... ?[PDF]? Modified: October 28, 2005
• ... To interpret these findings, we perform several Monte Carlo experiments under
  two null and two alternative hypotheses. ... 2 5 of our null hypothesis. ...
• http://www.clevelandfed.org/research/workpaper/1991/wp9116.pdf

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• The Lucas Critique and the Stability of Empirical Models? ?[PDF]? Modified: August 2, 2006
• ... fail to reject the null of structural stability in the presence of well-documented
  policy shifts. ... The null hypothesis of stability across ...
• http://www.clevelandfed.org/research/conferences/2006/november3/lubik.pdf

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